Live Now: BTC Macro, MSTR Outlook, and an Ex-Fed Insider on BitcoinWatch BMTV live on X, YouTube, or Rumble, featuring Lyn Alden, Alex Gladstein, Logan Mohtashami, Eric Weiss, and Christian Keroles, plus the latest Bitcoin headlines.
Good morning, and happy Monday. BMTV is live and streaming on X, YouTube, and Rumble.
Headlines from Bitcoin MagazineIMF Praises El Salvador — But Still Tries To Scale Back Its Bitcoin ProjectSouth Africa’s Absa Becomes First Bank on the Continent to Custody Bitcoin: ReportFrank Holmes: They Will Print $100 Trillion – Why to Buy Bitcoin & GoldJack Dorsey’s Block Launches Campaign To Get People Spending BitcoinWhat can move Bitcoin this weekThe jobs report is behind us. This week, Bitcoin’s next move may come down to the rate tape: whether the Fed still signals a willingness to hike and whether 10-year yields remain high enough to cap risk appetite. Monday’s ISM Services report is the first test. A hot reading could keep yields bid. Wednesday brings the week’s main event: the release of the September FOMC minutes and the 10-year Treasury auction, followed by the 30-year auction on Thursday. That supply arrives into the same 5% yield environment that previously capped Bitcoin near $87K. If the minutes lean hawkish and the long end catches a bid, Bitcoin could struggle to hold above $86K. If the Fed tone softens and yields ease, ETF inflows could give the rally room to extend. Special thanks to our sponsors: Cash App, Square, Bitkey, UTXO, SALT, VerifiedX, and PLAUD. Stay tuned here on Substack for updates on guests, segments, and the full schedule. For daily updates, follow us on X. For full show recordings and clips, subscribe to our YouTube channel. And for everything BMTV, visit watchbmtv.com. Thanks for tuning in. Until next time! The BMTV Team Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. We sincerely appreciate your support and hope you found this content valuable. Please leave a like and let us know your thoughts in the comments section; we always welcome feedback from our audience!
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Monday, October 5, 2026
Live Now: BTC Macro, MSTR Outlook, and an Ex-Fed Insider on Bitcoin
Bitcoin Is Waiting For The Next Catalyst
Bitcoin Is Waiting For The Next CatalystETF flows have cooled, but Bitcoin still has plenty of room for another move.
Breakout. Consolidation. Breakout. Consolidation. That has been the rhythm of Bitcoin’s recovery so far. It has now been almost two weeks since the latest jump and Bitcoin is still hovering around the mid-$80Ks. The initial momentum has faded, but price hasn’t given much back either. So after a move like this, there are really two possibilities. The market may simply be catching its breath before another leg higher. Or the forces behind the recovery may already be running out of steam. So today we’re going to look at the state of the market to see what’s possible: what has happened to ETF demand, whether the recent rally has left the market stretched and how Bitcoin currently sits relative to the broader risk-on environment. Together, those should tell us whether this consolidation is something to worry about or whether the market still has room for another move. Let’s look at the data. If you follow Bitcoin seriously but market research is not your full-time job, Ecoinometrics is built for you. Each issue combines original charts, quantitative models and historical comparisons across macro conditions, ETF flows and market structure. You get the result of hours of research in a briefing you can absorb in five minutes. Paid subscribers also receive The Ecoinometrics Decision in every issue: a clear assessment of the market regime, how to approach exposure, how confident we are, and what would confirm or invalidate the view. Join more than 34,000 readers using data to navigate Bitcoin’s market cycle. Ready? Let’s dig into the data. Bitcoin Is Waiting For The Next CatalystThe Ecoinometrics DecisionETF flows have returned to neutral but Bitcoin is neither overbought nor expensive relative to the Nasdaq. Does consolidation offer room to keep building exposure while waiting for the next catalyst? Upgrade to paid to see our decision...
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