We’ve been flagging macro risk as elevated since the start of the war in Iran. Things haven’t improved since then. Oil is moving higher again, inflation is showing signs of sticking, and the bond market has quietly walked back expectations for rate cuts. None of that is typically a friendly backdrop for risk assets. And yet markets are holding up. Equities are pushing back toward highs, volatility is contained, and Bitcoin’s price is quietly doing better. So the question is not whether macro risk exists. It clearly does. The real question is whether market participants are actually acting on it… or choosing to look past it. Because that’s what ultimately drives price. If investors are willing to lean back into risk despite the macro backdrop, then Bitcoin can build on this recovery. If they’re not, then this is just another temporary bounce that fades as soon as conditions tighten again. That’s the decision point we’re at. So instead of focusing on the headlines, let’s look at what the data says about Bitcoin itself: does it show solid signs of participating in this move? Ecoinometrics delivers professional-grade crypto and macro analysis to help institutional investors and serious traders make data-driven decisions. Our team conducts rigorous quantitative research, developing proprietary metrics and institutional-quality visualizations that cut through the noise to reveal key market dynamics. Each newsletter provides clear, actionable insights backed by data, delivered in a concise format that respects your time - five minutes to absorb, but deep enough to inform your investment strategy. Join over 35,000 professional investors and fund managers: Ready? Let’s dig into the data. Bitcoin Is Starting To Rebuild MomentumThe Takeaway...Continue reading this post for free in the Substack app
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