Liquidity Tsunami Cancelled: Inflation Is Slowing Things DownThe most powerful Bitcoin catalyst risks being delayedOne thing always works to spur a Bitcoin bull market. No, it's not the halving. It's a good old monetary expansion. Everyone expected this to happen when the Federal Reserve starts cutting rates. This has been anticipated for about a year now. The problem? The Federal Reserve is hesitating about the pace of those rate cuts. The reason? Inflation. The Ecoinometrics newsletter gives you insights from crypto and macro data to help you make better investment decisions. We spend hours every day gathering data, creating metrics and bringing them to life with data visualizations that allow you to quickly get to the heart of things. We then distill all that knowledge in each issue of the newsletter with less words and more charts so that you get insights, direct to the point, in five minutes or less. Join more than 24,000 investors here: Done? Thanks! That’s great! Now let’s dive in. Liquidity Tsunami Cancelled: Inflation Is Slowing Things DownThe TakeawayThe Federal Reserve's cautious approach to rate cuts, driven by persistent core inflation, is delaying a potential liquidity boost for Bitcoin. Our Fed Communication Index (FCI) shows hawkish levels despite recent rate cuts, indicating a measured stance on monetary policy. Core inflation remains stubbornly high, about 50% above pre-COVID levels for both CPI and PCE measures. This "warm" inflation, combined with revised economic data, suggests the Fed may hesitate to inject significant liquidity. Without this catalyst, Bitcoin is likely to remain in a neutral market regime, with limited chances of entering a bullish phase in the near term. Pay Attention To What The Fed Is Saying...Continue reading this post for free in the Substack app |
Monday, October 14, 2024
Liquidity Tsunami Cancelled: Inflation Is Slowing Things Down
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