Bitcoin Power Law: Decoding BTC’s Long-Term Price Trends

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	Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more BTC Hitting Resistance Bitcoin Power Law: Decoding BTC’s Long-Term Price Trends Bitcoin Magazine Pro May 19   READ IN APP   BTC Hitting Resistance News Headlines Steak ‘n Shake now accepting Bitcoin via Lightning. Binance and Kraken stop attacks similar to Coinbase hack. Metaplanet buys 1,004 bitcoin. Texas Bitcoin reserve bill heads to key reading before final floor vote. ANALYSIS: Bitcoin price surges $30k in 30 days. What’s next? Price Action After breaking above $100,000 again BTC has been ranging in recent days. It has now reached the resistance area we have been noting in recent weeks. Today BTC price was firmly rejected off the resistance level and is now sitting at $102,947. Figure 1: BTC rejected off range resistance. This resistance level at $106,000 has been a challenging area for BTC to close above all through Q4 2024 and throughout 2025. If BTC can break it and start to trend higher it will bring a wave of confidence back into the market. Until then BTC is likely to continue in its range that has been developing over the past week, where it is largely flat. Figure 2: Ranging price action over the past week. Despite this, Bitcoin is still up +21.82% over the past month. Figure 3: BTC steadily climbing higher the past month. Live Chart Once BTC can break through this stubborn resistance then the uptrend can resume. The Big Story: Metaplanet purchases 1,007 bitcoin Metaplanet Inc. has deepened its bitcoin-first treasury strategy, disclosing the purchase of 1,004 BTC for ¥15.2 billion (≈US$104 million) at an average ¥15.13 million (US$103,873) per coin. The additional stash lifts the company’s reserves to 7,800 BTC, now valued at a little over US$806 million, and trims the gap to its stated goal of 10,000 BTC by year-end. According to the Bitcoin Magazine Pro leaderboard of public-company treasuries, the latest haul nudges Metaplanet into the upper bracket of the global top-10, cementing its position as Asia’s largest listed bitcoin holder. Figure 4: Metaplanet now in the top 10 public listed companies holding bitcoin. Live Chart Metaplanet is quickly rising through the ranks as it is one of a handful of companies pursuing an active treasury management strategy, rather than passively holding bitcoin on its balance sheet. In terms of companies following the Saylor playbook with an active treasury management strategy, it is now in the top 3 after Strategy and Marathon. Figure 5: Metaplanet is one of the active bitcoin treasury management companies. Live Chart The market welcomed the new purchases of bitcoin. Shares in Metaplanet jumped about 12% on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, hitting levels last seen in February and boosting the firm’s market capitalisation to roughly ¥365 billion (US$2.34 billion) Metaplanet began accumulating bitcoin in April 2024 and has financed the expansion mainly through a rolling series of corporate bond issuances. Management says the aggressive allocation is designed to “maximise long-term shareholder value” by using BTC as both a reserve asset and a growth catalyst. If its current pace of purchasing bitcoin continues we expect Metaplanet to climb higher up the Treasury table rankings before the year end. Chart of the week - Bitcoin Power Law Figure 6: Bitcoin Power Law Live Chart What it the Bitcoin Power Law Chart A long-term price model showing that Bitcoin’s price has historically grown along a power-law curve (price ≈ a × timeᵇ) rather than a straight line or simple exponential. It is used by some analysts to estimate where Bitcoin price may go in the future by tracking the upper and lower bands of the chart. How it works: It plots Bitcoin’s price on a log-log chart, runs a power-law regression, and draws upper/lower bands that capture most of the price history to flag “overbought” or “oversold” extremes. Caveats: It’s fitted to past data, ignores supply halvings, regulations, and macro shocks, and prices can still break the bands. So it should be treated as a broad guide, not a guarantee, as to where price could go in the future. Why it matters: It frames Bitcoin’s big-picture trend as structured, not random, giving investors a yardstick for long-term valuation. Speak again soon The Bitcoin Magazine Pro Team. Bitcoin Magazine Pro For more detailed Bitcoin analysis and to access advanced features like live charts, personalized indicator alerts, and in-depth industry reports, check out Bitcoin Magazine Pro. Make Smarter Decisions About Bitcoin. 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