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Two Models. One Signal. Bitcoin Holds Its Ground

Stable regime, limited downside, upside in play

Ecoinometrics

Jun 16

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Bitcoin has been back in a mild bullish regime for nearly a month. But so far, it hasn’t resumed its uptrend or broken a new all-time high.

Is this just a temporary pause? A consolidation before another leg up? Or the start of something worse?

In today’s issue, we look at what’s been holding Bitcoin back in recent weeks and what that tells us about the broader market environment.

Ecoinometrics delivers professional-grade crypto and macro analysis to help institutional investors and serious traders make data-driven decisions.

Our team conducts rigorous quantitative research, developing proprietary metrics and institutional-quality visualizations that cut through the noise to reveal key market dynamics.

Each newsletter provides clear, actionable insights backed by data, delivered in a concise format that respects your time - five minutes to absorb, but deep enough to inform your investment strategy.

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Two Models. One Signal. Bitcoin Holds Its Ground

The Takeaway

Bitcoin hasn’t broken out, but the fundamentals remain intact. Despite short-term weakness, our regime model shows a 60% probability of Bitcoin staying in a neutral-to-bullish phase over the next 90 days...