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Bitcoin ETF Flows Have Peaked But This Isn’t a Breakdown

Bitcoin ETFs Report, August 2025

Ecoinometrics

Aug 6

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Last Friday brought a sizeable outflow from the Bitcoin ETFs. But even before that, the rolling flows had already topped out.

So the real story isn’t just about one bad day, it’s about a broader shift in momentum.

This week, we update our forecast using the latest flow data and our ETF flows-to-price model to assess what that shift could mean for Bitcoin in the short term.

Let’s dig in.

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Bitcoin ETF Flows Have Peaked But This Isn’t a Breakdown

The Takeaway

Last month, our model forecasted a breakout to a new all-time high above $119K. Bitcoin topped at $123K and closed the month at $115K, right in line with the projection (read the July forecast here).

Now the Bitcoin ETF flows have rolled over after peaking in July, raising questions about whether investor demand is shifting...