͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more

What ETF Flow Regimes Reveal About Bitcoin’s 30% Drawdown

Bitcoin Correlations Report, November 2025

Ecoinometrics

Nov 19

∙

Preview

READ IN APP

Bitcoin is down about 30% from its October peak, while the Nasdaq is about 6% off its recent high and gold has set new highs. That kind of divergence is unusual, because Bitcoin normally tracks the broader risk-on environment.

We already know part of the story. Recent institutional deleveraging has added selling pressure on Bitcoin.

But to understand the depth of the drawdown, we need to look at Bitcoin ETF flows in the context of flows into tech and gold. These relationships give us a cleaner read on whether the pullback is coming from a shift in macro appetite, a hedging rotation, or pressures unique to Bitcoin’s market structure.

This report walks through that data to pinpoint what’s driving the move.

Ecoinometrics delivers professional-grade crypto and macro analysis to help institutional investors and serious traders make data-driven decisions.

Our team conducts rigorous quantitative research, developing proprietary metrics and institutional-quality visualizations that cut through the noise to reveal key market dynamics.

Each newsletter provides clear, actionable insights backed by data, delivered in a concise format that respects your time - five minutes to absorb, but deep enough to inform your investment strategy.

Join over 35,000 professional investors and fund managers:

Ready? Let’s dig into the data.

What ETF Flow Regimes Reveal About Bitcoin’s 30% Drawdown

The Takeaway

Bitcoin’s 30% drawdown stands in sharp contrast to a more modest Nasdaq pullback and new highs in gold.

The flow data shows that macro conditions have not deteriorated enough to justify such a move. Tech flows remain mildly supportive, gold flows are elevated but stable, and the broader liquidity backdrop sits in a mixed “Hedged Risk-On” regime...