Can Bitcoin Reach $1.33M in 2026? Samson Mow Thinks SoFrom Hal Finney’s iconic “Running Bitcoin” anniversary to Samson Mow’s $1.33M 2026 forecast—Musk, sovereigns & Top Cap model fuel ultra-bullish outlook.What’s Happening Price Action Bitcoin has remained within a $10,000 range over the past month. Ranging from lows of $85,000 briefly up to $95,000. As a result, Bitcoin is broadly flat over the past 4 weeks (+1.64%). Figure 1: BTC ranging over the past month. From a technical perspective, we highlighted the key support (green bar) and resistance (red bar) levels many weeks ago. These have continued to contain BTC price action. However, ultimately, one of them will have to break! It currently looks like BTC will try to break through the $95,000 resistance level again. Figure 2: BTC being contained within support and resistance zones for now. The Big Story: Samson Mow Predicts $1.33M Bitcoin in 2026. Samson Mow has laid out a highly bullish outlook for Bitcoin, arguing that accelerating global adoption could drive the asset toward a valuation of around $1.33 million by 2026. His thesis centres on Bitcoin’s ongoing transition from a speculative trade into a strategically important monetary asset that is increasingly recognised by governments, institutions, and large pools of global capital. Figure 3: Samson Mow’s bullish predictions Can any on-chain or valuation models plausibly support such an aggressive forecast? One candidate is Willy Woo’s Top Cap model, which uses a multiplier of Bitcoin’s market-cap moving average to identify cycle extremes. The model successfully captured cycle tops in 2011, 2013, and 2017, although it notably overshot during the 2021 cycle. Figure 3: Could Top Cap align with Samson Mow’s bullish forecast? At present, the Top Cap model sits near $635,000 and continues to trend higher. In a scenario where demand accelerates meaningfully, driven by renewed corporate accumulation, high-profile participation from figures such as Elon Musk, and sovereign-level adoption, Bitcoin could plausibly accelerate toward this level and potentially converge with it at seven-figure prices. While Musk previously cooled Tesla’s acceptance of Bitcoin payments over environmental concerns, Mow argues this position may shift as the mining industry continues its transition toward cleaner and more sustainable energy sources. Given Musk’s outsized influence on market sentiment, any renewed and explicit support could act as a powerful catalyst for incremental demand. Figure 4: Tesla current holdings of BTC. Tesla currently holds 11,509 BTC on its balance sheet. Mow believes a meaningful expansion of corporate holdings, alongside sovereign-nation accumulation, would fundamentally alter Bitcoin’s demand dynamics. If Bitcoin were to accelerate toward the Top Cap level under these conditions, a $1.33 million price target would no longer appear extraordinary. Instead, it would represent the logical outcome of Bitcoin’s transition into a globally adopted monetary asset. The Bitcoin Magazine Pro Team. Bitcoin Magazine ProFor more detailed Bitcoin analysis and to access advanced features like live charts, personalized indicator alerts, and in-depth industry reports, check out Bitcoin Magazine Pro. Make Smarter Decisions About Bitcoin. Join millions of investors who get clarity about Bitcoin using data analytics you can’t get anywhere else. We don’t just provide data for data’s sake, we provide the metrics and tools that really matter. So you get to supercharge your insights, not your workload. Take the next step in your Bitcoin investing journey:
Invest wisely, stay informed, and let data drive your decisions. Thank you for reading, and here’s to your future success in the Bitcoin market! Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. We sincerely appreciate your support and hope you found this content valuable. Please leave a like and let us know your thoughts in the comments section; we always welcome feedback from our audience! |
Monday, January 12, 2026
Can Bitcoin Reach $1.33M in 2026? Samson Mow Thinks So
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